Thursday, November 13, 2008

Daily Letter

The Letter was last Updated:         11/13/08 23:55 ET


Market View          ==        BULL

Stocks staged a bullish reversal and closed sharply higher after touching new lows for the year. The selloff
started in the morning and accelerated when the S&P 500 broke through its previous lows triggering a huge
number of stops on its way down, then suddenly the selling volume dried up and buyers flooded the market
with orders and propelled the major indices higher by 6% or more. The total volume for the day was much
higher than what we have seen recently. Today's action shows that there are not enough sellers left to push
the markets lower from here and this might be the start of a new bull run. We have changed our outlook to
bullish but we still want to be cautious when getting into the market and wait for pullbacks after today's huge
rally.    


Read our
previous day commentary.

Daily performance of our Model Portfolio.



Recommended Stocks and ETFs (by Sector, Industry, or Country)

1. TECHNOLOGY

AMZN  ADBE

2. HEALTHCARE

AMGN

3. SMALL CAPS

UWM

4. FINANCIALS

MA  XLF

5. CONSUMER PRODUCTS

AVP



Investing Tip Of The Week

How to buy a stock or ETF? When establishing a new position, never invest all the money you are allocating
for the stock all at once. Even the greatest traders can’t predict the exact bottom and most likely it will go lower
after you buy. We recommend buying half the position or less at first, and then after a couple of weeks, if the
stock is up or down slightly, then buy some more. If the stock moves considerably lower (around 8-10%) after
you buy it, then you should sell. If the stock breaks out (up more than 5%) right after you buy it, then wait for
the first pullback and buy more.





Notes on how to read our Stock Newsletter:
1. We update our letter every night after the market close (except for the trading updates during the day), usually around 23:00 ET or earlier.
2. Our Stocks and ETF recommendations are not meant to be used for Day Trading purposes. We won't try to call the market direction for one
particular day.
3. Our market view reflects our sentiment on the overall market. It can be one of three states: BULL, BEAR, or NEUTRAL. We only recommend
buying stocks when the sentiment is BULL. BEAR means that we recommend selling stocks and staying in cash (or short stocks in some
occasions). When we are neutral on the market, it usually means that the sentiment is changing and we will indicate if it is positive or
negative in our commentary but we don't recommend buying at that point.
4. Our stock and ETF picks will be colored in Black,
Red, or Green. Black means that we like the stock and we don’t think it is necessarily
cheap or overpriced. In that case, we recommend buying on light pullbacks. Red means the stock is overpriced in the short term and we don’t
recommend starting a new position. However, color Red doesn't mean we recommend shorting or selling an existing position. Green means
that the stock is at an attractive level to buy, either because it has pulled back to support levels, or it is bottoming out from a steep decline.
5. When we drop a stock or ETF from our list, we usually are recommending that you sell the stock



* Investing in stocks is risky and can lead to financial loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results. We do not assume responsibility
for any profits or losses when trading stocks listed on our website. The information on this website is meant to be used as an additional tool to
assist you in your trading decisions.


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